I went to Barnes & Noble on Saturday with no intension of buying a religious book. On the contrary, I have a long flight this week to the west coast and was simply looking to pick up a quick read for the plane.
But, unable to find anything interesting, I found myself back in the religion section where I happened upon Monique El-Faizy's new book, God And Country: How Evangelicals Have Become America's New Mainstream. El-Fraizy, a New York journalist, had a "fundamentalist upbringing" and writes that she "began this project reluctantly." Says E-Fraizy: "[W]hen I revisited the world of my youth, I saw a vastly different place, one that had grown to resemble the secular world -- in style, if not in substance."
Essentially, El-Fraizy is joining a chorus of authors recently who are making the case that -- 30 years after Christianity Today proclaimed 1976 the "Year of the Evangelical" -- evangelical Christianity is finally moving from the sub-culture to the mainstream.
"While estimates as to the size of the evangelical community range from 44 million to more than 100 million, depending on how pollsters phrase the question, evangelicals can be found in every Christian denomination and in nondenominational churches," writes El-Fraizy. "In a May 2006 Gallup survey, 44 percent of American adults identified themselves as born-again or evangelical, about 86 million people."
If we look closely at American high schools, many things that were once sub-culture are now pretty mainstream. Even nerds. A remake of the 1984 classic "Revenge of the Nerds" is set to hit the big screen next year. The reason? Its makers claim that "nerds have moved from the subculture to the mainstream now." Look no further than the success of ABC's Ugly Betty or to the fact that "nerd glasses" are among this season's hottest fashion accessory.
Last month, I wrote about new research from the Barna Group that found that three out of five teens in the U.S. attend a youth group meeting or church service within a given three month period, with about half of all teens attending church on a weekly basis. The part of their survey that got all the attention, however, was their finding that roughly four-fifths of teens are abandoning their faith after high school.
It can be fair to say that, assuming El-Fraizy is correct and evangelical Christianity is entering the mainstream, teens are a driving force behind the trend. Teens drive culture like Dale Earnhardt Jr. drives a race car. The question is, will it have staying power? Teen attention can be a pretty fickle thing.
Ron Luce, founder of Teen Mania Ministries, clearly does not think so. In fact, he predicts this generation of young people will crash hard off of the Christianity of their teens. Even more so than those who passed through our youth groups five and 10 years ago.
Saturday's Colorado Gazette, under a banner headline "4 Percent: Pastor Wonders If Evangelicals Can Survive" said, "Ron Luce says the Christian church is in deep trouble. The evangelical youth pastor thinks only 4 percent of today’s youth will be evangelical Christians when they grow up — and he’s shouting it across the country. "
That message may sell books and fill stadiums, but is it real? Just when everybody says we're becoming "mainstream?"
No one knows for sure, of course, but even many who are skeptical about Luce's stat say we can't take any chances. The high school ministry at Colorado Springs' New Life Church has just launched the "More Than Four" program -- a nod to Luce's statistic.
The question nobody is asking is: does it matter where teens go to church? To my knowledge, no one has done much research into the question of what types of churches seem to be holding onto their kids. That's probably due to the fact that a truly comprehensive study would take a decade or longer to complete.
Only time will tell how all this shakes out. Will the more mainstream version of evangelical Christianity help churches hang onto their young? Maybe. Will mainline churches continue to decline and mega churches continue to increase? Maybe.
I have to wonder, though, whether we in youth ministry are prepared for what might happen when the very thing that made evangelicalism bubble to the mainstream surface to begin with (more teens joining the Christian sub-culture) makes it lose its appeal to many teens?